Updated population forecast and projections released

Information will be used to better inform strategic planning processes

Downtown Winnipeg skyline as seen from across the Red River during the daytime. Features the Canadian Museum for Human Rights and the Esplanade Riel bridge.

After Winnipeg’s population showed a steady upward incline up until 2020, growth flatlined when COVID-19 severely impacted immigration into our city. It was a drastic change of pace from a city that had grown at an annual average rate of 6,500 people over the previous 20 years.

“Like many Canadian cities, population growth slowed or even declined throughout the pandemic due to a decline in the natural increase of population and a reduction in international migration because of travel restrictions,” said Tyler Markowsky, City Economist.

The 2021 Census showed Winnipeg’s population is 749,607, which is the highest our population has ever been.

Our Economic Research group has released new 2022 population estimates and 25-year projections as well as an updated data series in our Open Data portal for the Winnipeg Census Metropolitan Area (CMA) and the City of Winnipeg. These new projections illustrate the recovery in population growth anticipated in both the short and long-term future for Winnipeg and the metropolitan area.

A feature of our newest projections is the addition of low-case and high-case estimates, along with a baseline, that set out a range of possibilities for population change.

The updated population forecast shows that in a baseline scenario, the City of Winnipeg’s population could reach 993,400 people and the Metropolitan Area reach 1.1 million people 25 years from now.

“We are now able to provide three population change scenarios that consider these factors, as well as historical trends,” said Markowsky.

We will also be producing a 25-year forecast on an annual basis after previously producing a long-range forecast on a five-year cycle. In the past, we relied on projections from the Conference Board of Canada to determine its 25-year forecast. However, a new methodology using internal data and information provided by Statistics Canada will allow us to update its long-term projections each year.

The increased frequency of the long-term projection will provide better data to inform strategic planning processes, and the inclusion of a range of projections will enable long-term planning to consider and stress-test against future uncertainty surrounding population change.

Other City information

Was this information helpful?

How can we make this web page better?

Information collected will be used to improve our website. Do not use this form to submit a request for service or information because it will not be forwarded to departments for response. To submit a request for service or information, contact 311.

This form is not intended to collect personal information; however, any personal information you choose to include in your comments is collected by the City of Winnipeg under the authority of section 36(1)(b) of the Freedom of Information and Protection of Privacy Act for the purpose of improving our website and will not be used or disclosed for any other purposes, except as authorized by law. Contact the Corporate Access and Privacy Officer by mail (City Clerk’s Department, Susan A. Thompson Building, 510 Main Street, Winnipeg MB, R3B 1B9) or by telephone (311) if you have any questions about the collection of this information.